Deepr: A Convolutional Net for Medical Records

Feature engineering remains a major bottleneck when creating predictive systems from electronic medical records. At present, an important missing element is detecting predictive <italic>regular clinical motifs</italic> from <italic> irregular episodic records</italic>. We present <inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mathtt {Deepr}$</tex-math> </inline-formula> (short for <italic>Deep</italic> <italic>r</italic>ecord), a new <italic>end-to-end</italic> deep learning system that learns to extract features from medical records and predicts future risk automatically. <inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mathtt {Deepr}$</tex-math></inline-formula> transforms a record into a sequence of discrete elements separated by coded time gaps and hospital transfers. On top of the sequence is a convolutional neural net that detects and combines predictive local clinical motifs to stratify the risk. <inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mathtt {Deepr}$</tex-math></inline-formula> permits transparent inspection and visualization of its inner working. We validate <inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mathtt {Deepr}$ </tex-math></inline-formula> on hospital data to predict unplanned readmission after discharge. <inline-formula> <tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mathtt {Deepr}$</tex-math></inline-formula> achieves superior accuracy compared to traditional techniques, detects meaningful clinical motifs, and uncovers the underlying structure of the disease and intervention space.

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