Sensitivity Analysis for Predictive Uncertainty in Bayesian Neural Networks

© ESANN 2018 - Proceedings, European Symposium on Artificial Neural Networks, Computational Intelligence and Machine Learning. We derive a novel sensitivity analysis of input variables for predictive epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty. We use Bayesian neural networks with latent variables as a model class and illustrate the usefulness of our sensitivity analysis on real-world datasets. Our method increases the interpretability of complex black-box probabilistic models.

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