Summary
This paper targets learning turbulence closure models for RANS simulations via neural networks. The paper proposes to use a neural SDE on the latent space of a transformer to predict different samples from the distribution of the next state, and then compute an average over these. This process is unrolled and trained for a sequence of multiple steps.
Strengths
Overall, this is a good idea, and I'm not aware of a an NSDE being previously used in this form. Thus, I see the general direction of the paper and the promising approach as strong points.
Weaknesses
On the other hand, the paper targets a single, two dimensional Kolmogorov flow secnario as the only test case. In addition, only a single deterministic NN is compared to (plus an implicit LES solver). For this single data set, the paper is lacking a stable evaluation: multiple, differentily initialized models evaluated across multiple tests to obtain a stable result are not evaluated. In addition, NeurIPS is a very broad ML venue. Turbulence is definitively an exciting topic here, but even more important would be a broader evaluation, ideally with substantially different secnarios to show that the method has merit beyond turbulence. In its current form, I don't think that the results are sufficient for a NeurIPS paper.
I see two ways to improve this aspect of the submission: either the authors focus their writing on the turbulence secnario (cf. below), and present multiple scenarios in this context, or non-turbulence cases are included to broaden the scope. A more stable evaluation with multiple models and tests should be included either way. This potentially also could help to show the benefits of the method more clearly. Right now the gains in terms of accuracy and the differences in the TKE spectrum seem to be mild. Additional cases could show areas where the approach gives larger improvements.
In addition, I would also recommend that the authors include additional learned baselines. This is less crucial, but would nonetheless help to put the work into the context of previous methods at NeurIPS, ICLR & co.
I also do want to mention two weak points in the writing. One is that I found the motivation (esp. L44) quite unintuitive: the "inductive bias of the LES field" is not very clear, and the summary implies this is "simply" a matter of choosing the right architecture. Things get clearer afterwards, but reading the paper front to back, I think this summarizing question is not helping a reader.
The conclusions are also not a good fit with the rest of the paper: suddently, a transition is is made to generic chaotic systems. The whole previous paper targets a single specific scenario in the form of Kolmogorov turbulence, and presents a single set of results. Hence, this outlook is not supported by the content of the paper. I can understand that the authors have hopes that their method will at some point in the future generalize to other cases, but it should be made clear that this is an outlook. Rather, references to specific works where the authors see potential would be interesting to give here.
Overall, I want to encourage the authors to continue their direction of work. Nonetheless, I find it difficult to directly argue for accepting this paper in its current form.
Questions
Which other, specific applications and scenarios do the authors see for their method?
Rating
7: Accept: Technically solid paper, with high impact on at least one sub-area, or moderate-to-high impact on more than one areas, with good-to-excellent evaluation, resources, reproducibility, and no unaddressed ethical considerations.
Confidence
4: You are confident in your assessment, but not absolutely certain. It is unlikely, but not impossible, that you did not understand some parts of the submission or that you are unfamiliar with some pieces of related work.
Limitations
Limitations are discussed briefly.