Summary
This paper provides an analysis of existing Offline Meta-RL (OMRL) methods by considering which informational quantity is maximized by which approach, and how they are related.
The show, under a certain assumption on data generation process, that early approaches like FOCAL maximize an upper-bound of the quantity of interest and propose a new method that instead maximizes a lower bound, resulting in a better performance.
They also provide an exhaustive evaluation of their approach in multiple different settings (in-domain, ood, model-based, varying data quality).
Strengths
* The information theoretical analysis seems novel, especially in its analysis and comparison of the prior existing methods.
* The new proposed methods are well motivated based on the prior analysis and perform well on a diverse set of problem setting variations
* Soure code is provided
Weaknesses
* The presentation of the Information Theoretical Framework in Section 2.2 is kind of hard to follow. The distinction of "minimally causally related" and "maximally causally related" quantities seems nonstandard to me and should be clarified. Maybe just writing $I(Z;M) \geq I(Z:M|X_b)$ is more clear? I would also appreciate a more clear justification of this assumption.
* Experimental validation explores a broad set of settings, but does not discuss hyper-parameter choice and optimization, except for one ablation. A proper hyper-parameter optimization for baselines and proposed methods would significantly strengthen the reliability of the evaluation.
* Theorem 2.4 (Concentration Bound for Supervised UNICORN) is just a straight-forward application of Chebyshev, is not discussed further and doesn't seem to provide any deeper insights. It is thus unclear to me why it was included in the paper, what additional insights it provides.
Minor Points:
* Figure 1 a) and 1 b) seem unnecessarily complex, a more sketch-like format might be easier to understand
* It is not clear from the paper how exactly the "Supervised" baseline encodes the context.
* Interaction Information $I(X;Y;Z)$ is not commonly used outside the causal inference community as far as I know, so it would be nice to quickly define it for the reader.
Questions
* As mentioned in the weaknesses above, my biggest concern is the interpretation of assumption 2.2, i.e. $I(Z;M) \geq I(Z:M|X_b)$. Some additional justification or clarification would be helpful. When does it apply? When is it violated?
* It would be nice to include ContraBAR [Choshen and Tamar; ICML2023] into the comparison of methods, as I believe it also maximizes $I(Z;M)$ in this framework, and is also predictive (by using Contrastive Predictive Coding). It also is applied online and offline. Without it, this submission seems to suggest that it provides the first method maximizing $I(Z;M)$, which I don't believe is correct.
* What insights does Theorem 2.4 provide?
* Are the proposed methods limited to discrete task spaces (during training and execution?)? If so, how could the proposed methods be extended to continuous task spaces?
I'm willing to improve my score if the concerns, especially about Assumption 2.2, are addressed.
Limitations
* The methods as presented seem to be limited to discrete sets of tasks. Adapting them to continuous state should be feasible, for example by using InfoNCE in UNICORN-Sup, but as such variants are not discussed or evaluated this limitation should be stated.
At least it should be mentioned in 3.1) when introducing the evaluation tasks.