Summary
This submission is a purely theoretical work, whose main goal is to bound $\Delta(h,\mathbf{X})=\mathbb{E}[h(X)]-\frac{1}{n}\sum^n_{i=1}h(X_i)$, i.e. equation (1). After some preliminary results, the results that show this bound under different conditions are Theorem 3.4, Theorem 3.5 and Theorem 3.8. Some possible (theoretical) applications are also shown, in the form of the Gibbs algorithm, randomisation of stable algorithms and PAC-Bayes bounds with data-dependent priors.
Strengths
Unfortunately, I have not worked in any of the subfields that this paper is concerned with, so my judgment on its importance should be taken with a pinch of salt, but I am convinced of its significance and the contributions that this paper makes.
I have also tried to go through some of the maths in detail to check for its soundness, and barring a couple of very minor errors (see "Questions"), I think this paper is excellent in that regard.
I really liked the way this paper was written, straight to the point with minimum fuss, and my impression is overwhelmingly positive.
Weaknesses
I think the authors made a deliberate choice to be concise with the proofs so that the proof can be included in the main body of the paper. I really like this, but in some places, the proof is too short, so that the readers are asked to do a significant amount of algebra by themselves. If possible, it would be great if the authors could use the extra page to flesh out the proofs a little bit.
Questions
Displayed equation after L89: This seems to be a pointwise statement for both $h$ and $\mathbf{x}$, so should it be “for all $h\in\mathcal{H}$ and for all $\mathbf{x}\in\mathcal{X}^n$? Unless the statement should be “… is called a Hamiltonian for $Q_\mathbf{x}$” instead of “Hamiltonian for $Q$”?
Displayed equation after L162: Shouldn’t $2bc$ be $\frac{bc}{2}$, taking into account the factor of $\frac{1}{8}$? The $2nc^2$ in the numerator of the fraction should also be $\frac{nc^2}{2}$. It looks like this is corrected on L163, and working through the maths, I indeed got the claimed inequality in Theorem 3.4(ii).
L183: I think you are missing a $\ln$ in front of the exponential?
Limitations
L88: "A function $H:\mathcal{H}\times\mathcal{X}^n$" perhaps it is better to write “A function $H$ on $\mathcal{H}\times\mathcal{X}^n$? I leave this up to the authors.
Displayed equation after L153: The spacing is a bit strange on the left?
L185: an -> and
Displayed equation after L195: The comma should be a full stop.
L178, L389: “Assume that all” -> “Assume that for all”
L391: everz -> every