Summary
The authors tackle the concept of emergence, and specifically its relationship with training performance. The authors build recent work to define their chosen metric of emergence. The relationship with training is first studied empirically in experiments on (fashion)-MNIST and CIFAR-10. In parallel, the authors explore how the emergence relates to the loss landscape, and probe the concept of tuning under this light. Finally, the authors open up the discussion on how such an emergence metric can help understand training, pruning, and provide a tool for training convergence and consequently early training-termination.
Strengths
- The paper is original, approaching the relevant question of quantifying the wide-spread phenomenon of emergence, which lacked rigorous treatment in the past.
- The paper is well motivated. L35 for instance is a perfect example of a well-posed objective.
- The paper builds on previous work on defining emergence, and applies it to the extremely well-studied setting of training in NNs performing classification tasks, thus making the results approachable to a wide audience.
- The authors identify some covariates that could bias their estimates and correct for it, such as the number of parameters changing during pruning.
- Some results are quite clear. For instance, relative emergence being correlated with pruning (Figure 4 and 8) is well supported.
- The implications of an emergence metric for training termination are interesting.
Weaknesses
Major:
- Conclusions are made before results are presented (L62, L256, L266), and sometimes some claims are made with no supporting results at all (L242, L302). Furthermore, many results are presented as "validating our hypothesis". I would suggest removing this hypothesis-based presentation, and focus on an analysis of your results. This could be done by presenting the results of section 4 first, *then* dive into the analyses of the latter half of section 3.3(.0) and section 3.3.1.
- Mathematical definitions lack support and introduction. The definitions rely on (Li et al, 2023), which "provides rigorous mathematical foundation for understanding emergence in network structures" (L77). The authors would benefit from integrating in their manuscript a more thorough summary and introduction to the definitions. For instance, it is highly unclear to me how one goes from equation on L166 to the main definition of emergence in L175, and how the latter can be derived from Eq. (8) in Appendix. Appendix A does not provide clarification unfortunately, only copy-pasting (exact replica with unproperly formatted references, see L648 and L669) from (Li et al., 2024).
- Lack of surrounding literature. At a superficial level, the reference list is quite small, with more than half of the papers being preprints/non-peer-reviewed work. More concretely, the authors would benefit from including more literature on emergence in LLMs and neural scaling laws (see e.g. (Nam et al., 2024, NeurIPS) for recently published work that surveyed some of these topics).
- Circular reasoning arguments are employed many times, starting with the abstract "Our hypothesis posits that the degree of emergence [...] can predict the development of emergent behaviors in the network", then further in L381 "as the value of Emergence decreased, training accuracy change decrease, thereby supporting our hypothesis that emergence functions as a measure of prediction of emergent traits within a neural network.", and again on L438 "[...], supporting the idea that the emergence value is a predictor of emergent traits." . These are logical fallacies unfortunately and should be removed, in a favor of exposition in line with my first point above.
- Repeated sentences and content, for instance L44-L47 and Paragraph beginning with L71 both makes similar comments on the loss landscape and its relationship with emergence, and see a further example in the circular reasoning point above.
- Claims of significance should be backed by statistical tests.
Minor
- Repeated reference for (Li et al, 2023)
- Remove "intuitively" in L251 if no intuition is provided.
- Many typos, too many to list unfortunately. A thorough re-read is advised.
Questions
- What are baselines for your metric of emergence?
- How is the threshold of 0.05 chosen? How do your results vary as a function of that threshold? Weight values are related to performance in a very complex, non-trivial manner (for instance as highlighted in the rich v.s. lazy literature on learning dynamics), and while you do touch this aspect in section 4.2., the paper would benefit from more justification of the chosen bounds generally.
- To provide some intuition, how does the metric behave under alternative transformations $\Phi$ not representative of training, for instance, additive Gaussian noise on the weights? Why does it decrease over training? (Figure 4, 8)
- What is Figure 2 showing? If it corresponds to scalar E over a parameter state space, what are these parameters, and how are the (un)pruned networks plotted against it?
- I think the results on emergence and end of training are interesting: could you explore further the possible advantages, for instance by comparing how many epochs earlier you can predict the end of training than traditional measures of convergence?