SSD Offloading for LLM Mixture-of-Experts Weights Considered Harmful in Energy Efficiency

Large Language Models (LLMs) applying Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) scale to trillions of parameters but require vast memory, motivating a line of research to offload expert weights from fast-but-small DRAM (HBM) to denser Flash SSDs. While SSDs provide cost-effective capacity, their read energy per bit is substantially higher than that of DRAM. This paper quantitatively analyzes the energy implications of offloading MoE expert weights to SSDs during the critical decode stage of LLM inference. Our analysis, comparing SSD, CPU memory (DDR), and HBM storage scenarios for models like DeepSeek-R1, reveals that offloading MoE weights to current SSDs drastically increases per-token-generation energy consumption (e.g., by up to <inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\sim 12\times$</tex-math><alternatives><mml:math><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn>12</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math><inline-graphic xlink:href="ahn-ieq1-3592563.gif"/></alternatives></inline-formula> compared to the HBM baseline), dominating the total inference energy budget. Although techniques like prefetching effectively hide access latency, they cannot mitigate this fundamental energy penalty. We further explore future technological scaling, finding that the inherent sparsity of MoE models could potentially make SSDs energy-viable <italic>if</italic> Flash read energy improves significantly, roughly by an order of magnitude.