Quantum and Classical Machine Learning in Decentralized Finance: Comparative Evidence from Multi-Asset Backtesting of Automated Market Makers

This study presents a comprehensive empirical comparison between quantum machine learning (QML) and classical machine learning (CML) approaches in Automated Market Makers (AMM) and Decentralized Finance (DeFi) trading strategies through extensive backtesting on 10 models across multiple cryptocurrency assets. Our analysis encompasses classical ML models (Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, Logistic Regression), pure quantum models (VQE Classifier, QNN, QSVM), hybrid quantum-classical models (QASA Hybrid, QASA Sequence, QuantumRWKV), and transformer models. The results demonstrate that hybrid quantum models achieve superior overall performance with 11.2\% average return and 1.42 average Sharpe ratio, while classical ML models show 9.8\% average return and 1.47 average Sharpe ratio. The QASA Sequence hybrid model achieves the highest individual return of 13.99\% with the best Sharpe ratio of 1.76, demonstrating the potential of quantum-classical hybrid approaches in AMM and DeFi trading strategies.

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References (20)

09Analyzing the impact of feature engineering on model performance in different AMM systems and DeFi protocols
10Data limitations: Study based only on cryptocur-rency data; results may not apply to other financial markets
11Identifying optimal scenarios for different model types across various assets and market conditions in DeFi ecosystems
12High Accuracy: Random Forest and Gradient Boosting achieve 99.48% accuracy, demonstrating superior pattern recognition in training data

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