Foundations of Practical Quantum Advantage in Quantum-Informed Machine Learning for Predicting Chaos
We develop theoretical foundations for a practical quantum-advantage mechanism in quantum-informed machine learning for chaotic dynamical systems. A family of $k$-indexed higher-order quantum statistical priors (Q-Priors) hosts the $k$-point marginal of the invariant measure on $n_q = kq$ qubits, extending the single-site construction of prior work. We prove a two-stage advantage. In the representation stage, superposition and entanglement compactly store non-factorisable spatial correlations of the invariant measure on $n_q$ qubits. In the extraction stage, joint Bell measurements on two copies estimate any \emph{post hoc} Pauli functional with a copy-pair count independent of $n_q$, whereas any adaptive single-copy protocol for the corresponding full-Pauli read-out requires $\Omega(2^{n_q})$ copies; this is a provable quantum-classical separation in copy-measurement complexity. The two-copy read-out is realised in simulation and on IQM superconducting processors. Two case studies instantiate the mechanism in workflows of independent scientific value. In a turbulent channel-flow study, the two-copy read-out yields the velocity-direction coherence as a named non-diagonal correlator of the invariant measure, and the multi-site $k = 2$ Q-Prior recovers DNS-level invariant-measure statistics that the unregularised baseline loses. In a medium-range weather forecasting workflow on the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ERA5 reanalysis, the diagonal $k \leq 2$ Q-Prior steers a Koopman rollout, improves anomaly correlation skill by 10% to 39% across 48 to 240h lead times, and stabilises long-horizon rollouts against collapse onto a static mean field. Together, the mechanism and these two case studies satisfy our practical-advantage definition, identifying a candidate route to practical quantum advantage before fault-tolerant hardware.
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