MEDICAL ACCOUNTABLE PROVIDER PLATFORM

The technology described herein relates to using predictions about patients' future health care utilization and/or outcomes (e.g., patients' expected future adherence to medication regimens) and the expected economic benefits of targeted improvements in the same utilization and/or outcomes (e.g., reduced likelihood of hospitalization attributable to more consistent medication use) to implement more effective and efficient health care improvement programs. The technology described here computes which subset of patients should be included in a value-based health care provider payment scheme and what the specific bonus payment amounts should be such that expected benefits from better patient outcomes, once realized, are greater than the expected costs of the payment scheme itself.