SYSTEMS AND METHODS FOR DETERMINING LIKELIHOOD OF INCIDENT OCCURRENCE

Determination of a user-specific likelihood of incident occurrence at a geographic location may be performed. User information, historical incident information, contextual information, and/or other information may be obtained. User information may include user demographic information, user behavior information, user social information, and/or other user related information. Historical incident information may include data relating to crime, mortality, injury, morbidity rates and may be obtained from local law enforcement, local Departments of Motor Vehicles, national security agency such as the Federal Bureau of Investigation, foreign security agency such as the Central Intelligence Agency, international criminal policy organization such as Interpol, national public health agency such as Center for Disease Control, international public health agency such as World Health Organization and/or other sources. Contextual information may include information about events that have previously occurred at or near user's current geographic location. Determination of a user-specific likelihood of incident occurrence may be performed by analyzing collected sets of user data, historical incident data, and contextual information obtained from various sources to create a single incidence likelihood indicator.