SEQUENTIAL-CORRELATIONAL METHOD OF EVALUATION OF PROBABILISTIC CHARACTERISTICS OF A HIERARCHICAL FUNCTIONAL STRUCTURE

Sequential-correlational method of evaluation of probabilistic characteristics of a hierarchical functional structure comprising structural elements described by respective mathematical models of structural elements, that include input and output parameters, and dependencies between structural elements described by respective mathematical models of dependencies between structural elements, that include input and output parameters. In the method in order to implement the process of executing simulation steps the following is performed: generating random values of variable input parameters of mathematical models of the structural elements, in each simulation step, according to the specified rules of their variability, and determining the values of output parameters of the mathematical models of the structural elements taking into account the output parameters of linked to said structural elements mathematical models of dependencies between structural elements, in each simulation step; accumulating the simulation information about the values of output parameters of the said mathematical models of structural elements, and evaluating the probabilistic characteristics of said structural elements upon completion of all simulation steps utilizing the said accumulated simulation information.