Method And System For Determining Probability Of Project Success

A computer-implemented method is provided for developing a model to estimate a probability of project success. The method includes maintaining a database of historical project management performance data including i) task information associated with at least one completed task and ii) member information associated with at least one team member. The method includes forming a predictive model based on the historical project management performance data. Forming a predictive model further includes formulating probability distributions to characterize one or more dependency relationships in the predictive model. Each probability distribution includes at least one probability determined based on the historical project management performance data.