Market Data-Driven Simulation of Order Book Mechanics

A system and a method are disclosed for simulating data driven market order exchange mechanics. An event processing engine receives a feed of market data and forwards it to an exchange simulator. The feed of market data may be recorded market data, live relayed market data, or simulated market data. A series of order requests is also received. The order requests are market order or limit orders, and can include new orders, amend orders, or cancel orders. The feed of market data is analyzed and an inference algorithm is applied by making probabilistic inferences to determine what actions may have occurred to produce the received feed of market data. A second series of order requests are produced. The received order requests and the second series of order requests are combined with normal exchange rules to produce a stream of simulated market data and a series of updated order requests.